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①The top performing market in North
Asia ended the year with a fizzle Thursday,
with the Kospi closing flat on the trading day of the year in South Korea.
The result leaves the Seoul benchmark with an 11 percent loss for 2011. In
comparison, stocks in Tokyo are heading for a near 18 percent
full-year loss, with traders eyeing the 8,300
level, by the time Japanese markets close for the year on Friday. ②China stocks are set to fare even worse, with the Hang Seng on course for losses
of around 20 percent, and the Shanghai composite
lower by about 23 percent. Sydney stocks will do slightly better,
with full-year losses of around 14
percent, by the end of shortened trade
Friday. ③it wasn't just the euro
zone crisis that weighed on the region's equity
markets, but a whole slew of market negative events that marked 2011. ④ the first half of next year will be
challenging, but things may improve
beyond that. "You have U.S. housing, which is clearly beginning to build a
base for future growth. You have the European central bank, almost being forced
certainly by circumstances in Europe at some point to adopt much more
radical and aggressive monetary measures that could restore confidence in
financial markets. You've got, thirdly, Chinese policy response to the slowdown
which can be quite effective; I suspect by the later part of 2012, the full effects of that policy
easing will be felt in global economic activity, not just Chinese economic activity." ⑤China is due to release PMI data next week,
and markets will be watching the numbers closely for any possible impact on
monetary policy. Beijing has relaxed bank reserve ratio requirements, but has left interest rates, and
property price curbs in place, so far.